Some time ago John Nichols became obsessed with Baldwin not getting in line with the 2nd District. For the longest time the meme of the Obamabots was that Super Delegates should vote with their district or state. It looks like now if we apply the Nichols Method Hillary wins under every scenario.
The Obama campaign has argued that Super Delegates ought to vote in accordance with the “will” of the people. Really? Then let’s run the numbers. Under that metric, who would have a lead in Super Delegates? The Super Delegate total from the states that Hillary has won thus far (including FL and MI) is 418, to Obama’s 372. If the MI delegates are split 50/50, Clinton still wins 403.5 to Obama’s 386.5. If Super Delegates are counted according to Barack’s formula, Hillary wins the nomination. Period.
Hillary has had been winning the popular vote for some time now. If you take Michigan out of the equation, Obama is winning by less that 300,000 votes. Chances are when this ball game is done, Hillary will have an incontestable lead in the popular vote.
The Obamacbots will have to articulate an anti-popular vote argument for the nomination. An articulation where it becomes less important if a delegate is super or not because the contrast is between delegates on the one hand and the popular vote on the other.